Thinking about the elections in November with todays Polls

Thinking about the elections in November

Most Americans who listened to radio or surfed the Internet on Election Day in 2004 sat down to watch the evening television coverage thinking John Kerry won the election. Anchor people were discussing whom Kerry would choose for his cabinet, Exit polls showed him ahead in nearly every battleground state, in many cases by sizable margins. Two factors seemed to explain Kerry’s edge: turnout was very high, good news for Democrats, and as in every US presidential election with an incumbent over the past quarter-century, undecided voters broke heavily toward the challenger Out of 7 polls during this period had John Kerry leading ( 5 )over Bush ( 2 ). So when I see the polls today they really mean nothing due to how the questions in the polls are asked and the number of responders spilt between Democrat and Republican. Example I read a CNN poll that show 1,000 responders but the poll has almost 2 to 1 democrats over Republicans asked questions, so the poll means nothing, it showed Obama 52% by McCain 42%. Below are the polls from the 2004 election.
If the election for president were held today and the candidates were Republican George Bush and the Democrat John Kerry, for whom would you vote: George Bush or John Kerry? October 24-25, 2004
Kerry 49%
Bush 47%
Nader 1%
Other 1%
Unsure 1%
margin of error: 3.1%
source: Democracy Corps Poll
If the presidential election were being held today... Would you vote for Kerry and Edwards, the Democrats, Bush and Cheney, the Republicans, or Nader and Camejo, the independent candidates?October 22-24, 2004
Bush 51%
Kerry 46%
Nader 1%
Other -%
Unsure 2%
margin of error: 3%
source: Gallup
If the election for president were held today, for whom would you vote? October 23-25, 2004
Bush 49%
Kerry 46%
Nader 1%
Badnarik -%
Peroutka -%
Cobb -%
Other 4%
margin of error: 2.9%
source: Zogby International
If the election for president were held today, for whom would you vote? October 22-24, 2004
Kerry 50%
Bush 48%
Other/Undecided 2%
margin of error: 3.7%
source: Survey USA

If the election for president were held today, for whom would you vote? October 23-25, 2004
John Kerry 49%
George W. Bush 46%
Ralph Nader 1%
Undecided 4%
margin of error: 4%
source: American Research Group
If the election for president and vice president were being held today and the names on the ballot included George W. Bush for President and Dick Cheney for Vice President, the Republicans, and John Kerry for President and John Edwards for Vice President, the Democrats, for whom would you vote - Bush, Kerry, or someone else? October 21-24, 2004
Kerry 47%
Bush 45%
Other 1.5%
Undecided 6%
margin of error: 4.1%
source: Zogby International
If the election for president and vice president were being held today and the names on the ballot included George W. Bush for President and Dick Cheney for Vice President, the Republicans, and John Kerry for President and John Edwards for Vice President, the Democrats, for whom would you vote - Bush, Kerry, or someone else? October 23-25, 2004
Kerry 50%
Bush 47%
Other/Undecided 3%
margin of error: 4%
source: American Research Group